Friday, Nov. 01, 1968

Where They Stand

WITH one week to go in the presidential campaign, Hubert Humphrey's late surge has whittled Republican leads in Pennsylvania, Virginia and Washington to almost nothing and placed several more states in the tossup category. Still, the Democrats cannot claim to have won any new states, and a nationwide survey by TIME correspondents shows that Richard Nixon is likely to carry 29 states commanding 278 Electoral College votes (needed for election: 270 votes).

Humphrey can count as safe only four states and the District of Columbia. He holds a precarious edge in Minnesota, his home state, and West Virginia, for a total of 46 electoral votes. In Michigan, Polltaker Frederick Currier found only a single percentage point separating him from Nixon. George Wallace has moved up in Florida and may now be able to deny Nixon the state's 14 electoral votes. Republicans are heartened, however, by slippage from the third-party candidate in South Carolina, Arkansas and Georgia. The breakdown:

> NIXON LEADING: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Wisconsin and Wyoming. Total electoral votes: 278.

> HUMPHREY LEADING: District of Columbia, Hawaii, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Rhode Island and West Virginia. Total electoral votes: 46.

> WALLACE LEADING: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina. Total electoral votes: 53.

> TOSSUPS: Florida, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, New York, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia and Washington. Total electoral votes: 161.

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